2014 SEASON PREVIEW (PART 3): Best Case/Worst Case for… the AL CENTRAL (with Getty Images)

We continue our big preview of the MLB Season by looking at the best-case and worst-case scenarios for the AL Central. And, what’s more, that includes Getty Images, no matter how irrelevant the picture is.

Detroit Tigers

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: Who need Prince Fielder? They have Miguel Cabrera still, and their starting rotation is still one where the reigning Cy Young winner, Max Scherzer, may not even be the ace, due to Justin Verlander. And they now have Joe Nathan as their closer! With that, there can only be one best-case scenario: World Series Title.

Worst-Case Scenario: The Tigers are seized and sold to pay off Detroit’s bankruptcy debt.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: Joe Nathan starts showing his age, Verlander’s below-average-by-his-standards season last year turns out to have been the start of his decline, and it turns out that maybe Miguel Cabrera did need Prince Fielder. And even then, they still probably are in the playoff hunt.

Cleveland Indians

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: They make the playoffs again, and actually make it farther than the Wild Card game this time.

Worst-Case Scenario: Nick Swisher secedes from the Union to found the state of “Brohio”.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: With two pitchers (Ubaldo Jimenez and Scott Kazmir) having left in Free Agency, the depth isn’t what it used to be, and the Indians are left in the dust in the AL Central.

Kansas City Royals

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: The youngsters make a great leap forward, James Shields continues to do well, and the Royals sneak in as a Wild Card.

Worst-Case Scenario: Young guys flop or get hurt, James Shields starts to take a downturn, and the Royals fall back into the total basement.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: See above. I couldn’t come up with anything outrageous for the Royals.

Minnesota Twins

Best-Case Scenario: Joe Mauer wins the batting title and upsets both Miguel Cabrera and Chris Davis for the 1st-base starting spot at the All-Star Game. The new pitchers turn out to be genius moves. The Twins end the season near .500 and plenty of good prospects in their future.

Worst-Case Scenario: Joe Mauer goes outside Justin Morneau‘s house to play 1980s power ballads from an oversized stereo system. Hurts himself lifting that stereo. Misses rest of season.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: The pitchers brought in flop, Mauer doesn’t improve all that much playing every day at 1B, or, worse, gets hurt. Prospects get hurt or hit a ceiling. Last place. Glen Perkins is the lone Twins All-Star at Target Field after Josh Willingham‘s “Final Vote” campaign falls short due to the fact he’s going against Derek Jeter, who will end up in the ASG this year, no matter how or what, even if he’s hitting .220.

Chicago White Sox

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: The Jose Abreu signing is genius and some other stuff goes right (primarily with the pitching staff), and the White Sox are a surprise contender for awhile before fading in the second half.

Worst-Case Scenario: They do more-or-less what they did last year, and Paul Konerko gets so depressed he decides to retire early.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: See above, only presumably without the Konerko retirement.

Next on the list of Best Case/Worst Case: The AL West.

2014 SEASON PREVIEW (PART 2): Best Case/Worst Case for… the AL EAST (with Getty Images)

What’s the worst that can happen? What’s the best-case scenario? In Best Case/Worst Case, we find out what those worst and best case scenarios are. Tonight… the American League East. And it’s accompanied by things from the now-free Getty Image archive.

So, here we go:

Boston Red Sox

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: Everything clicks again, David Ortiz once again gets to use his Hall of Fame level of F-Bomb dropping as the Red Sox celebrate a repeat. Bogaerts becomes a super-star.

Worst-Case Scenario: They grow the beards again, but this time they grow…. too much. By October, they have grown so long that they trip over them.

Worst-Case Scenario that might actually happen: Injuries take a toll on the pitching staff, Xander Bogaerts doesn’t quite make his great leap into super-stardom. Third Place.

Tampa Bay Rays

Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: They finally win the World Series, possibly even getting the baseball fans of the Tampa area to come to see them and not the opposing team instead.

Worst-Case Scenario: Somebody steals Evan Longoria‘s hat again and escapes with it into the deadliest regions of the Middle East. Vowing vengeance, Longoria misses the first several months of the season as he goes to rescue it, and to make matters worse, Wil Myers gets hurt. By the time Longoria and Myers have gotten back, the Rays are far enough back where they feel like it’s safe to trade away David Price.

Worst-Case Scenario that might actually happen: Really, injuries and the possible trade of David Price are the worst case scenarios.

Baltimore Orioles
Embed from Getty Images

Best-Case Scenario: The pitching overachieves, Manny Machado comes back healthy, Nelson Cruz does well in Camden Yards and the rest of the AL East falters, allowing the Orioles to- somehow- make their second playoffs in three years.

Worst-Case Scenario: A bad batch of crab-cakes causes entire team to battle food poisoning all year.

Worst-Case Scenario that could actually happen: Machado doesn’t fully recover, the pitching stinks, and the only thing the Orioles are playing for down the stretch is the ability to stay over .500.

New York Yankees

Best-Case Scenario: World Series title.

Worst-Case Scenario: Seriously, Yankee fans would probably consider anything other than the above a worst-case scenario. However, they are forgetting…

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: Not only do the Yankees not win the World Series, but they miss the playoffs again, leading to Yankee ownership to panic and, in a move reminiscent of the late George Steinbrenner, blow everything up, even the stuff that worked. Also, that guy falls off his motorcycle.

Toronto Blue Jays

(I don’t know why Getty would have clip art that is JUST different enough from the actual Blue Jays logo to not be a copy…)

Best-Case Scenario: Dickey’s knuckler knuckles, Jose Bautista stays healthy, and the other teams in AL East have troubles, allowing Toronto to return to the post-season for the first time since the 1990s.

Worst-Case Scenario: Rob Ford shows up, does something so disgraceful that the Blue Jays cancel the season in shame.

Worst-Case Scenario That Could Actually Happen: More-or-less what happened last year.

Later today…. BEST CASE/WORST CASE for the… AL CENTRAL.

My 2014 Blogathon Post is Up!

Well, guess there won’t be a book review today. But, guess what? You still have stuff of mine to read, as my entry to the Blogathon at Old Time Family Baseball is now up! Be sure to check out the whole thing (there are some great pieces in it), and look at my piece, in which I look at what would happen to various baseball players, fans, announcers and reporters in a It’s a Wonderful Life-style dystopia where baseball didn’t exist.

But, of course, there is a real reason for the blogathon: to raise money for Doctors Without Borders, one of the world’s most respected organizations. They work to bring medical treatment to war zones and developing nations where it may not be available. You can donate to DWB over at OTFB, and even a dollar donation will put you into a raffle for some cool prizes.

Predictions for tomorrow’s AFC and NFC championship games

Well, here are my predictions for tomorrow’s NFL games. Who will go to the Super Bowl?

  • In the latest super-epic-deathmatch between Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, I think Manning will win. However this isn’t a game between Manning and Brady, it’s a game between the Broncos and Patriots. And that, ultimately, leads to Manning’s problem and tragedy: He could do great, even spectacular, and it still might not be enough if the Patriots just play better. So if the Patriots use their momentum and suddenly-amazing running game to beat the Broncos, don’t be surprised. However, that said, I still like the Broncos in a close one, since the Broncos are a better defensive team than, say, the Colts.
  • Meanwhile, I think the Seahawks will beat the 49ers, because, well, i still don’t see anybody beating the Seahawks at home. I know, that’s a cop-out answer, but when you are this late in the playoffs, sometimes cop-out answers are necessary, since it can be so hard to predict who could win a single random sporting event.

So, there you go, the Seahawks and Broncos will meet in the Super Bowl.

Unless I’m wrong.

Which I probably am.

The Alex Rodriguez Suspension/NFL Prediction Awkward Combination Post

Okay, so, I was going to make my picks for the NFL playoffs this weekend, but then Alex Rodriguez finally received his steroid suspension from the arbitrator, a one-year ban, which is lower than the 211-game ban MLB had originally given him but still the longest suspension in the history of MLB’s drug program.

So, here are my thoughts on that:

  • Not many people win in this. MLB and Bud Selig have now been shown to have overreached with the 211-game suspension, and also will get bad publicity even as the Hall of Fame vote stuff just starts to settle (on the bright side, Alex Rodriguez won’t see a MLB field in 2014). Rodriguez, of course, misses the entire next season. The MLBPA, although many of it’s members would probably be fine with letting A-Rod burn, has been dealt a defeat, with one of their members being suspended despite a lack of a positive test.
  • Interestingly, the only people who really benefit (besides lawyers) are the New York Yankees themselves. Without having to pay A-Rod next year, they have more money to possibly use in the Masahiro Tanaka sweepstakes.
  • This isn’t over. It’s unlikely the federal courts are going to side with Rodriguez, but it still will keep this story in the public eye. And even after the suspension, Rodriguez will likely try to make a comeback in 2015… wherever he plays. It’s hard to see the Yankees wanting him back.
  • Oh, and guess what? Due to a loophole, Alex Rodriguez will be able to come to spring training. Yankees’ position players must be in camp by February 19! Boy, oh boy!

And now, my thoughts on this weekend’s  NFL playoff games:

  • I’m not going to go against the Seahawks at home, where the stadium has, in the past, caused small earthquakes and gotten to dangerously high levels of noise.
  • I will, however, go against the Patriots and go with the Colts. Maybe it’s the team of destiny the Colts gave last week, or maybe that’s just me.
  • I’m going with the 49ers over the Panthers. After going through Lambeau, Charlotte is probably a cakewalk.
  • I’m going with the Broncos over the Chargers. They just are the better team.

Okay, so, let’s see how well it all turns out to be!

My hypothetical HoF ballot: The Justifications

So, yesterday I had my hypothetical Hall of Fame ballot. So, here are my justifications for them:

Greg Maddux is the greatest control pitcher of the expansion era, if not any era. He was the best fielding pitcher of his time, if not all time. During the 1996 World Series, after the Braves had won game one, George Steinbrenner more or less demanded to know how Joe Torre was going to get out of this. Torre more or less told him that there was no way they were beating Maddux in Game 2 but after that things would turn around. Steinbrenner, apparently, took this as a legitimate excuse for going down 2-0 in the series. Let that sink in: losing to Greg Maddux was excusable to George Steinbrenner. Maybe I’m botching the retelling of that story a little bit, but not that much. A top-tier Hall of Famer.

Tom Glavine was the Robin to Greg Maddux’s Batman, a 10-time All-Star, 305 game winner, and two-time Cy Young winner who is underrated due to how great Maddux was.

Frank Thomas hit 521 home runs while also hitting .301. He is 14th in career OPS. He’s the Big Hurt, and he’s a Hall of Famer.

Craig Biggio played catcher, he played second, and he played in the outfield. And he was a great hitter who could get on base any way he could- he holds the record for HBP among modern players. Probably could have been a star in any era he played. Should have gone in last year.

Tim Raines may not get in on the “gut feeling” test, but he is, nonetheless, a Hall of Famer in my book. While certainly being a seven-time All-Star help, the big reason is because of how great he was as a leadoff hitter. Not only could he get on base- he was a respectable .294 hitter (and that was lower than it probably should have been because he stuck around a few years too long)- he also was a great base-stealer, 8th all-time.

Mike Piazza was the greatest power-hitting catcher of all time, and yet steroid rumors (none of which have been proven and most of which seem to be innuendo like saying he had an acne problem at one point) have kept him out. He should be in or whatever real evidence there is should be revealed.

Barry Bonds is in because, well, he was a Hall of Famer before he started using steroids in the late 1990s. The steroids merely turned him from a great player to arguably the greatest hitter of all time. Roger Clemens would also be on this list, for similar reasons, if there were more than 10 spots.

Edgar Martinez was the greatest DH-only player of his era. He won two batting titles, had a career .312 average, is 21st in career OBP and 34th in career OPS, and hit probably the most memorable hit in the history of the Seattle Mariners- the double that won the 1995 ALDS against the Yankees and arguably saved the franchise’s future in Seattle.
Should be in the Hall.

Jeff Kent was the 2000 MVP, a five-time all-star, and holds the record for HR by a 2B. Although famously prickly and a subpar fielder, he should definitely have gotten more votes than he did this year, and should one day be in the Hall.

Fred McGriff would be in the Hall of Fame right now if not for the 1994 strike. In the 113 games he had played in that year, he had 34 HRs. Had the season gone on, he would have been able to end his career with 500+ HRs, a steady hitter who never hit more than 40 HRs but constantly was hitting 30 or more. With basically no steroid cloud around him, he should be in the Hall of Fame.

 

Finally, I’d like to note that Jeff Bagwell would also be on the hypothetical ballot, but, again, 10 player limit. And Jack Morris, as great of a performer as he was at his peak, had a career ERA of 3.90, and I don’t believe in “pitching to the score”.

My Hall of Fame Ballot (if I had one)

If I had a Hall of Fame ballot, this is who I’d vote for:

Greg Maddux

Frank Thomas

Craig Biggio

Tom Glavine

Tim Raines

Mike Piazza

Barry Bonds

Edgar Martinez

Jeff Kent

Fred McGriff

Come back tomorrow for my justifications!

Football Continuum: Short Predictions for the NFL Wild Card Round (2014)

Okay, so, it’s time for the NFL playoffs. Some quick thoughts:

  • I like the Chiefs over the Colts today. I’m not 100% sure why. Maybe it’s just my gut.
  • I like the Eagles over the Saints. This time, though, I have reasons. For one, it’ll be really cold in Philly, and the Saints don’t do well on the road, so the Eagles definitely have the elements and the crowd on their side.
  • Bengals over the Chargers. I feel like Andy Dalton is going to come into his own as an elite QB during this postseason.
  • I have no idea what might happen in Green Bay on Sunday. It’ll be so cold that weird things could happen, and who knows if Aaron Rodgers is truly “back” yet. So, for lack of a better prediction, I’m just going to say that the 49ers are the better team but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Packers win.

Aside: 2014 will open in Australia

Aside

As part of MLB’s efforts to grow the game and spread international peace and understanding, the 2014 season will start in Australia. It will, of course, feature those epitomes of diplomacy, the Diamondbacks and Dodgers.