(Blogathon ’16) 2017 WBC Team Dominican Republic projections Version 0.1

This post is part of the 2016 Baseball Continuum Blogathon For Charity, benefiting the Roswell Park Alliance Foundation. The Roswell Park Alliance Foundation is the charitable arm of Roswell Park Cancer Institute and funds raised will be “put to immediate use to increase the pace from research trials into improved clinical care, to ensure state-of-the-art facilities, and to help improve the quality of life for patients and their families.” Please donate through the Blogathon’s GoFundMe page.

We are over a year from the 2017 World Baseball Classic, and the road will no doubt be filled with commitments, pull-outs, unusual nationality switches, injuries, trades, new contracts, personal decisions and god-knows-what-else still on the way. But, for now, let’s just imagine everybody is available: who’d be on Team Dominican in the 2017 World Baseball Classic?

Perhaps it would look something like this. Now, a reminder of the WBC roster rules:

  • Any player coming off a major injury or who has a history of injuries is unlikely to participate. This is especially true for the pitchers. (This “rule” is being ignored for version 0.1)
  • Players that will be on new teams are less likely to participate, but shouldn’t be completely ignored, with the exception of pitchers. (This “rule” is being ignored for version 0.1)
  • Teams are made up of 28 players, of which 13 of them must be pitchers and two of them catchers.
  • The pitch count rules make relievers extremely important.

Here we go:

Catchers (3): Wellington Castillo, Francisco Pena, Pedro Severino

First Baseman (3): Albert Pujols, Carlos Santana, Edwin Encarnacion

One of them would presumably also DH, obviously.

Second Baseman (1): Robinson Cano

Third Baseman (2): Adrian Beltre, Maikel Franco

Oh, Adrian Beltre will be in his late 30s in 2017, you say? That is true, but I wouldn’t bet against him.

Shortstop (2): Erick Aybar, Jhonny Peralta

Designated Hitter/3B/Who-The-Heck-Knows (1): Miguel Sano

Outfielders (4): Jose Bautista, Nelson Cruz, Carlos Gomez, Starling Marte

Starting Pitchers (4): Johnny Cueto, Carlos Martinez, Danny Salazar, Francisco Liriano

Relief Pitchers (8): Jeurys Familia, Kelvin Herrera, Arodys Vizcaino, Pedro Strop, Santiago Casilla, Luis Garcia, Antonio Bastardo, Alexi Ogando

And so, that’s Version 0.1 of my TeamDR projections. Version 1.0, which will include actual consideration as to whether I think somebody will actually take part or not, will come out sometime in the future. But until then…. feel free to imagine how the team would do if it looked like this.

At Noon: Mini-Book Reviews!

This post has been part of the 2016 Baseball Continuum Blogathon For Charity, benefiting the Roswell Park Alliance Foundation. The Roswell Park Alliance Foundation is the charitable arm of Roswell Park Cancer Institute and funds raised will be “put to immediate use to increase the pace from research trials into improved clinical care, to ensure state-of-the-art facilities, and to help improve the quality of life for patients and their families.” Please donate through the Blogathon’s GoFundMe page.

 

Early WBC News for March 7, 2013

The late-night results for the WBC-MLB exhibitions last night:

Team USA lost 8-7 to the Rockies… sort of. You see, all 8 of the Colorado runs came off of Rockies minor leaguers who filled up the last few innings of the game so that Team USA could save pitchers for the tournament.

Canada lost to the Reds 12-2.

Anyway, more WBC news later…

Late WBC News for March 6, 2013

Not much news, other than Javy Guerra pulling out of the WBC (apparently a problem with his surgically repaired shoulder) and being replaced on Mexico by A’s farmhand Arnold Leon.

Here are the results of WBC-MLB Exhibitions, at least those complete by this point. I’ll have the late games tomorrow:

Puerto Rico 8, Minnesota 7

Venezuela 14, Mets 10

Dominican 8, Yankees 2

Baltimore 19, Spain 7

Angels 12, Italy 6

Dodgers 10, Mexico 2

See you tomorrow…

 

 

 

 

 

Early WBC News for March 5th, 2013

Not much news today, merely one late pull-out due to injury as well as a replacement of somebody who had been injured. In fact, both of today’s news item is in the form of an embedded tweet:

 

There you go. More WBC news later today, as well as a preview tomorrow of Pool 1 of the Second Round and an article as to why the doomsaying about the WBC is (probably) overblown. Spoiler alert: The numbers show that the WBC is more popular than many people perceive it to be.

Early WBC News for March 4, 2013

Not much news due to the fact the Western players are arriving and having initial workouts, but there is some:

Jesse Crain of the White Sox has had to pull out of Team Canada due to a shoulder injury (apparently some type of strain). But, have no fear Canada, because Joey Votto will be playing for you.

And, also, here are the possibilities for the Asian Pools as to how tiebreakers will work. I won’t go into super detail, but it’s like this:

Japan and Cuba have already advanced. Remaining games in Pool A are just for seeding and pride, and, for Brazil and China, likely a chance to avoid getting relegated back to qualifiers.

In Pool B, it’s more complicated. But, in essence, it’s like this:

If Taipei wins against Korea, and the Netherlands beats Australia, then CT and the Dutch advance.

If Korea wins and the Netherlands lose, then CT and Korea advance.

Basically, if CT wins, they’re in.

If the Netherlands beats Australia by 8 or more runs, then they advance basically no matter what.

If Korea beats Taipei by 4 or more runs, they advance basically no matter what.

But what if there’s a 3-way tie at the top and one of the above things doesn’t happen? Then it gets complicated… quoting Pat Lackey from The Outside Corner:

That means that — deep breath — Chinese Taipei will advance with a win, with a loss to South Korea by four runs or less, or a loss to South Korea by four runs or more coupled with a Netherlands loss to Australia or a Netherlands victory over Australia that doesn’t make up the run differential between the two sides. South Korea will advance with a win over Chinese Taipei by four runs or more or a win over Chinese Taipei by three runs or less, so long as Netherlands doesn’t beat Australia by one run more than they (meaning South Korea) beat Chinese Taipei by. Netherlands advances by beating Australia by at least eight runs or by beating Australia by at least one more run than by which South Korea beats Chinese Taipei. This holds true even if Korea beats Chinese Taipei by four runs, because in that case a five-run win by Netherlands will give them a better differential by Chinese Taipei by one run. There is a caveat here: if Korea beats Chinese Taipei by nine runs or more,  all Netherlands has to do is win. Got it?

 

It is also technically possible for Australia to advance if they beat Netherlands and Chinese Taipei beats South Korea because that would result in Netherlands, Korea, and Australia all sitting at 1-2. Unfortunately for  Australia, their run differential is currently -9, so either they’d have to crush Netherlands or they’d have to narrowly beat Netherlands while Chinese Taipei crushes South Korea. Neither of those results seems terribly likely.

Got all of that? Okay, come back later for more WBC news.

WBC News for March 3, 2013

In case you didn’t notice, there wasn’t any early World Baseball Classic news today. There are two reasons for this:

A) Catching up on sleep deprivation from watching some of the Asian WBC games

B) There really wasn’t much news, as most of the western players were traveling to their camps.

So, really, the only news is this: Yovani Gallardo will be able to (probably) play in the WBC, although there is a question as to if he will have to throw another inning as a warmup, which could mess up his pitching schedule.

So, yeah, see you tomorrow.