Football Continuum: My Super Bowl XLIX Prediction

Okay, so, this is a tough Super Bowl to pick. Both teams are extremely good, and both also have momentum, or at least as much momentum as a team can have after a off week.

That said, I think the Seahawks will win.

Why?

Defense. Yes, it is now a QB’s league, but it feels to me like the defensive advantage that the Seahawks hold over the Patriots is larger than the advantage that the Patriots hold over the Seahawks on the offensive side. Russell Wilson is no Tom Brady, but with Marshawn Lynch helping him out he won’t have to be. I expect a late touchdown from “Beast Mode” to put the Seahawks ahead and for the “Legion of Boom” to stop Tom Brady from pulling off a last minute miracle drive.

Prediction: Seahawks 27, Patriots 23

I am 7-3 on the postseason, 7-4 if you count my incorrect pick in the College Football Championship game.

Football Continuum: Short Predictions for the NFL Conference Round (2015)

I’m currently 5-3 on the Postseason (5-4 if you count my College Football pick being wrong). So, how about this week?

  • Rodgers is hurt and not 100%, the 12th Man will be in force, and Beast Mode will no doubt be activated. For those reasons, I like the Seahawks to beat the Packers.
  • The weather will be crummy in New England, and Brady and the Patriots have far more experience with that then the Colts, who play their home games indoors. So I pick the Patriots.

Enjoy the games!

Football Continuum: Short Predictions for the NFL Divisional Round (2015)

I was 2-2 last week. Let’s see how I do this week:

 

  • I like the Patriots over the Ravens, because I long ago learned not to bet against Tom Brady, even when he is facing the one team that could be said to “have his number”.
  • I like the Seahawks over the Panthers. The sub-.500 Cinderella Story will not be able to withstand “Beast Mode”, Russell Wilson and the “12th Man”.
  • Green Bay will beat Dallas because they are home and are the better team. It could go the other way though if Rodgers’ injury is worse than some are letting on.
  • Similarly, the Broncos, being both the home team and the better team, will beat the Colts.
  • BONUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: Oregon over Ohio State.

 

 

My justifications for my hypothetical HoF Ballot

I had my hypothetical HoF ballot yesterday. So here are my justifications. Portions of these have already been printed earlier in the blog’s history.

Randy Johnson and Pedro Martinez are obvious. Johnson is one of the great left-handed pitchers of all time, while Pedro’s pitching peak was perhaps the greatest of all time- maybe even greater than Sandy Koufax.

John Smoltz was likely the third-best of the Atlanta aces when his starting career is taken as a whole, but when he wasn’t starting, he was an excellent reliever, a latter-day Dennis Eckersley in his adaptability. He’s the only player in history with 200+ wins and 150+ saves.

Craig Biggio played catcher, he played second, and he played in the outfield. And he was a great hitter who could get on base any way he could- he holds the record for HBP among modern players. Probably could have been a star in any era he played. Should have gone in last year… and the year before that.

Tim Raines may not get in on the “gut feeling” test, but he is, nonetheless, a Hall of Famer in my book. While certainly being a seven-time All-Star help, the big reason is because of how great he was as a leadoff hitter. Not only could he get on base- he was a respectable .294 hitter (and that was lower than it probably should have been because he stuck around a few years too long)- he also was a great base-stealer, 8th all-time.

Mike Piazza was the greatest power-hitting catcher of all time, and yet steroid rumors (none of which have been proven and most of which seem to be innuendo like saying he had an acne problem at one point) have kept him out. He should be in or whatever real evidence there is should be revealed.

Barry Bonds is in because, well, he was a Hall of Famer before he started using steroids in the late 1990s. The steroids merely turned him from a great player to arguably the greatest hitter of all time.

Roger Clemens is a similar story. Would have been a Hall of Famer before his PED use, so I say he should still be a Hall of Famer.

Mike Mussina is known as “Mr. Almost”. He was almost a Cy Young winner, he almost threw perfect games or no-hitters, he was Orioles teams that almost made the World Series and Yankees teams that almost won the World Series. It wasn’t until his final season that he finally won 20 games. He was never the best, but he was always one of the best. It’s a sad irony that he might end up “almost” a hall of famer.

Edgar Martinez was the greatest DH-only player of his era. He won two batting titles, had a career .312 average, is 21st in career OBP and 34th in career OPS, and hit probably the most memorable hit in the history of the Seattle Mariners- the double that won the 1995 ALDS against the Yankees and arguably saved the franchise’s future in Seattle.
Should be in the Hall.

Jeff Bagwell, Curt Schilling, Fred McGriff, Alan Trammell, Jeff Kent and maybe McGwire and Sosa would receive votes if there was more than 10 spots on a ballot.

 

 

If I had a Hall of Fame ballot… (2014-2015)

Today, the latest inductees to get into the Hall of Fame will be revealed. If I had a ballot, here’s who I’d vote for (in rough order of likelihood that they actually will get in):

1. Randy Johnson

2. Pedro Martinez

3. John Smoltz

4. Craig Biggio

5. Mike Piazza

6. Tim Raines

7. Barry Bonds

8. Roger Clemens

9. Mike Mussina

10. Edgar Martinez

WOULD RECEIVE VOTES IF I WASN’T CAPPED AT 10: Jeff Bagwell, Curt Schilling, Fred McGriff, Alan Trammell, Jeff Kent, maybe McGwire and Sosa.

I’ll post my justifications later today or sometime tomorrow.

Football Continuum: Short Predictions for the NFL Wild Card Round (2015)

Okay, so, it’s time for the NFL playoffs. Some quick thoughts:

  • The Cardinals will beat the Panthers, if there is any justice in the world, since the Panthers shouldn’t even be here, much less at home. Although the fact the Cardinals are on their third QB (as well as the fact the Panthers are at home) does give the Panthers a chance, I don’t see them doing the Seattle thing.
  • The Steelers will beat the Ravens, because they are at home. A cop-out, I know, but sometimes that’s something you have to go with.
  • Indianapolis will beat Cincinnati, because I like Luck more than Dalton.
  • And finally, I think the Cowboys will beat the Lions this weekend. Because if Tony Romo doesn’t go far in the playoffs this year, I don’t think he ever will.

 

REVIEW: Out Of The Park Baseball 2015

Last year, I wrote a review of Out of the Park Baseball 2014.

Most of that is still true. The game itself hasn’t changed that much. Buying this year’s OOTP won’t get you that much more than last year’s (to the extent that I almost recommend you look at that before reading this)- and that isn’t a bad thing. And yet, this year’s OOTP represents the first steps into an even better future, while still remaining the great baseball management simulation it’s fans love.

Why? Because, now, it looks like we may see a future where we can truly see the game as it takes place. Before, aside from a ball moving around a photo and some little headshots of players popping up in the proper place on the field, the action during actual games was mainly left to the imagination, now….

Screen Shot 2014-06-09 at 5.07.17 PMThat’s a 3D Model of Yankee Stadium I got off the internet. That, other others like and the default one that comes with OOTP, are now one of the views available. And, unlike the previous games, where those little baseballs going over the field were only marked with things like Fs or Gs to indicate fly or ground balls, now you can see the arc of the ball as it goes through the air and see where it lands. It isn’t perfect, of course, and sometimes it doesn’t work. But the possibilities it opens are endless:

Imagine seeing the runners actually moving around the bases? Imagine perhaps one day actually seeing the fielders on the field make the plays? It may be a ways off, but this is the first step, and it will only improve from here as the engine continues to improve.

As for the rest of the game, it’s still great OOTP. You can run anything from an a single team in a single league over the course of just one season to running an entire universe of countless leagues and farm systems across multiple continents. And, yes, those leagues can interact with each other, now more than ever, as OOTP has added in default leagues from Europe as well as the posting system function. In my current game, for example, I came across a guy who had been dropped from a AA roster, went to the Netherlands, did pretty well, and then got a contract in Taiwan. Little details like this are just some of the fun things that happen in OOTP. And there are other little details added as well-

For example, whereas once you could either have a computer-generated image of your players, or, in cases where you were playing using real players, a photograph of them, now you can have both, as the “facegen” system can now mold the player’s actual face onto a 3D computer body. Like David Ortiz here:

Screen Shot 2014-04-19 at 8.18.49 PMAs you can see, it’s not exactly perfect, and as a result the picture above looks more like an action figure of David Ortiz than Big Papi himself, but with other players it’s a bit better. And, what’s more, what is great about this is that it means the picture can now change as they move from team-to-team, or if a new uniform style is added. Previously, David Ortiz always was in his Red Sox cap if you had downloaded his image to use- even if you were playing a simulation of a year where he was with the Twins. Now, the picture would change to show that.

So, really, to end this review in a horrible and abrupt way: There really isn’t much more I can say about OOTP 15 that I couldn’t say about OOTP 14. But that isn’t a bad thing- because OOTP 15, like OOTP 14…. is awesome.

 

First Impressions of OOTP Baseball ’15

I recently received an early copy of OOTP Baseball 2015 from the fine people at Out of the Park Developments, and while this early build is buggy and in parts incomplete, it already shows the promise of being another great installment for the best baseball simulation on Earth (and, presumably, all other planets, moons and asteroids). Today, a day after  the game went out to those who pre-ordered, here are some first impressions- a full review is coming later.

 

First off and most importantly, it’s the same old OOTP.

They haven’t changed anything about the gameplay itself: it remains the good old OOTP, allowing you to command your team’s front office and on-field moves (managerial decisions, line-ups, etc.), simulate old seasons, manage transactions, etc. This is a case of “not messing with success”. It also remains very moddable- in a few of these pictures you’ll see real MLB logos or player faces, which aren’t default but rather things you can download.

The Biggest Additions are Graphical

For example, whereas once you could either have a computer-generated image of your players, or, in cases where you were playing using real players, a photograph of them, now you can have both, as the “facegen” system can now mold the player’s actual face onto a 3D computer body. Like David Ortiz here:

Screen Shot 2014-04-19 at 8.18.49 PMAs you can see, it’s not exactly perfect, and as a result the picture above looks more like an action figure of David Ortiz than Big Papi himself, but with other players it’s a bit better. And, what’s more, what is great about this is that it means the picture can now change as they move from team-to-team, or if a new uniform style is added. Previously, David Ortiz always was in his Red Sox cap if you had downloaded his image to use- even if you were playing a simulation of a year where he was with the Twins. Now, the picture would change to show that.

The other, bigger and even more exciting development, is the introduction of 3D into the actual in-game experience, allowing you to see, in 3D graphics, the stadium where you are playing, as well as the ball flying into the seats or harmlessly dropping into a second-baseman’s glove. It’s not complete yet- OOTP Developments even has admitted so- so I can’t really comment on it yet, and I don’t quite feel comfortable showing a screenshot of it yet either, mainly because of that unfinishedness. Still, from what I can see, this could be one of the coolest additions to OOTP since the ability to play multiple leagues around the world was added, especially once you consider how nice some of the modding will be as people add in 3D models of Fenway Park, Camden Yards, and the like.

The International Focus Is Stronger Than Even

OOTP has for several years had the ability to simulate all the world of baseball, even including many leagues, such as Japan’s and Korea’s, in the game’s “league creation” screen. This year, they’ve added in the Dutch and Italian Leagues, and, in a first, they’ve added in the real rosters for the international teams, although they are sometimes a bit haphazard- DOOR Neptunus of the Dutch League, for example, had an empty roster last I checked. Still, it’s neat that the OOTP team has done all of this research, and I’m sure as time goes on we’ll see even more additions to OOTP’s global leagues- perhaps a defection feature for Cuba, for example, or the promotion/relegation of the Dutch League. Maybe even a World Baseball Classic is in the future of the OOTP world!

You probably never thought about the L&D Amsterdam Pirates of the Honkbal Hoofdklasse before now!

You probably never thought about the L&D Amsterdam Pirates of the Honkbal Hoofdklasse before now!

In addition, they’ve added in the Posting System function, a pretty big part of the business of baseball that hadn’t been in OOTP games until now. Of course, as with almost everything in OOTP, that’s customizable and can be turned on/off.

Scouting Changes

One of my favorite additions/changes are the differences in how scouting and ratings are now shown. Previously, OOTP didn’t really give you an idea if, say, a “60” in power was good or not. Now, though, the ratings are set so that they are based on how well a player is compared to his league and whatever scale you’ve set for your game. So on a 1-100 scale, a player who is a 60 in power is a bit above average in the power category in your league. Of course, you can also now change the league that is used as an average, allowing you to laugh at how awesome your utility player would be in the low minors or in one of the lesser international leagues.

Little Things Mean A Lot

Every OOTP also makes some small adjustments. For example. OOTP now has a retired number feature:

Screen Shot 2014-04-10 at 10.19.45 PM(Sadly, they have yet to have the ability to import this in from the start- so if you want to make sure nobody is wearing number 8 as you simulate the next 5 years of Orioles history, you have to enter those numbers yourself)

NOTE: I’ve since learned that the most recent version of the game has gotten this fixed.

It also has a little funny ditty for the “can’t be fired” option:

Screen Shot 2014-04-10 at 10.16.21 PMHeh.

Stuff I haven’t covered/played yet

There also are changes with how you can set up historic leagues- sadly, I haven’t had a close look at that yet. I also have yet to really do a long sim yet, as I’m waiting for some of the bugs and glitches to stabilize. Still, it’s obvious already that this will be the best OOTP yet, and I’m sure it’ll get even better as time goes on.

 

Coming Soon: First Impressions of OOTP Baseball ’15!

Sometime soon, my first impressions of OOTP Baseball ’15, which is due out later this month:

Screen Shot 2014-04-09 at 10.09.25 PM