2014 ALDS and NLDS predictions

Here are my predictions for the 2014 ALDS and NLDS series:

The Orioles are a good team and have a flare for the dramatic, and also seem to like giving the middle finger to any sort of baseball logic and sense. However, I do not think they can beat the Tigers rotation. Their only shot will be to get to the soft underbelly that is the Detroit bullpen. However, it’s entirely possible that the Tigers’ won’t give them that chance. Tigers in 4.

The Royals/Angels series is a bit less clear, partly because I haven’t seen them “live” as much as I’ve seen the O’s and Tigers, but also because they are very different teams (while the Orioles and Tigers have more-or-less the same approach as each other). The Royals, as we saw during the Wild Card game, are an old-style team that loves to bunt and steal, while relying on pitching to try and make up for all the times that might fail (the Royals actually were one of the worst teams in the league in certain offensive categories this season). The Angels are more of a standard modern team at the plate, with a big-name lineup that was the league’s most productive offense, led, of course, by Mike Trout. Their pitching, however, is nowhere near as big-name as their lineup. With such different teams going at each other, and with strengths going against strengths, this could be anyone’s series. That said, I think the Angels are the better overall team, so I think they will win it. Angels in 4.

The Cardinals/Dodgers matchup is one that has happened many times before- they are two of the flagship teams of baseball and stalwarts of the National League. They met last year in the NLCS and the Cardinals won in 6, but I think this time it’ll be different. The Cardinals no longer have postseason man-god Carlos Beltran, Michael Wacha is still recovering from injury (although certainly the Cardinals maintain a very deep rotation) and Yadier Molina isn’t fully healthy either. The Dodgers, meanwhile, now are another year wiser and experienced, and, oh, right, have Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke all nice and lined up to pitch in order. If not for the fact Hyun-Jin Ryu is going to be coming off an injury and that Dan Haren has long had trouble against the Cardinals, the starting rotation situation for the Dodgers would look almost as good as Detroit’s looks like against the Orioles.

While the Cardinals do have the advantage in bullpen, experience and overall team depth, all of that might mean diddly-squat, though, because this is a best-of-five series and to win the Cardinals will likely have to win at least two games against the 1-2 punch of Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke (there are rumors that Don Mattingley will try to go with a 3-man rotation). I don’t think they can, even with Adam Wainwright and Lance Lynn. Dodgers in 5.

The Nationals hold a edge against the Giants because  of the Wild Card game. Because the Giants had to play that, they probably won’t be able to have Bumgarner pitch until Game 3. Jake Peavy and Tim Hudson, of course, are also perfectly good (and Ryan Vogelsong has his moments), but they aren’t Bumgarner. The Nationals, meanwhile, will have Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Doug Fister and Gio Gonzalez. So, advantage in the rotation. Nationals also hold the advantage in offense, with a deeper lineup that features two players (Denard Span and Jayson Werth) who were top-10 in batting average in the NL this season and with Bryce Harper having heated up after the All-Star Break and Adam LaRoche. While you can never count out Buster Posey and the rest of the Giants, I feel like the Nationals will win in 4.

 

So, there you go.

Tomorrow (Sunday) on the Baseball Continuum…

Aside

Tomorrow on the Continuum: Bizarre Baseball Culture does The Simpsons, and I share some of the best writing I’ve read over the past week.

Coming this week on the Baseball Continuum:

Coming this week on the Continuum:

  • Another Bizarre Baseball Culture
  • Some photos and thoughts from the Rochester Red Wings’ season so far
  • Perhaps a Book Review
  • And, of course, the usual MVP of Yesterday stuff…

 

Bizarre Baseball Culture incoming…

The latest Bizarre Baseball Culture will be up soon, but until then, here’s a little preview:

vlcsnap-2014-07-13-22h42m51s31…Don’t miss it.

2014 SEASON PREVIEW (PART 10): Predictions for the Season, without any further explanations (except one)

It’s time. Who will be the division winners? Who will win the World Series? Time to see my predictions… without further explanation (except for one).

 

AL East: Boston Red Sox

AL Central: Detroit Tigers

AL West: Texas Rangers

AL Wild Cards: Tampa Rays, Oakland Athletics

AL Champion: Detroit Tigers

NL East: Washington Nationals

NL Central: St. Louis Cardinals

NL West: LA Dodgers

NL Wild Cards: Reds and Giants

NL Champion: St. Louis Cardinals

 

And finally….
World Series Champion: St. Louis Cardinals

 

So why do I think the Cardinals are going to win it all this year? Well, it’s partly my gut, but there is also plenty of good logic behind it. While they have lost Carlos Beltran, the fact remains that their young players- and they have some good ones- will be one more year experienced. And, what’s more, many of those young players are pitchers (such as 2013’s postseason hero Michael Wacha and fire-balling reliever Trevor Rosenthal), and as always pitching is the way to October success. Mix that with their experienced players like Adam Wainwright and Matt Holliday, and you have a team that should be one of the favorites to win the World Series in 2014.

2014 SEASON PREVIEW (PART 9): Predictions for Awards without any further explanations

To predict awards is often even harder than to predict the actual results of the season. So I’m going to just get this out of the way quickly, without any explanation. So you can try to guess why I’m going out on a limb and predicting Matt Moore as AL Cy Young winner, but I’m not telling. Unless I’m right, in which case you can be sure I’ll go into detail on my brilliant genius.

And, yes, that was meant to be sarcastic.

 

AL MVP: Mike Trout

NL MVP: Andrew McCutchen

AL Cy Young: Matt Moore

NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw

AL Rookie of the Year: Xander Bogaerts

NL Rookie of the Year: Billy Hamilton

AL Manager of the Year: Brad Ausmus

NL Manager of the Year: Fredi Gonzalez

 

 

Tomorrow…

Tomorrow, come to the Baseball Continuum for the NL East Best Case/Worst Case Scenarios!

 

This Week on the Baseball Continuum

This week on the Baseball Continuum, I’ll be starting my season preview and also do some other stuff. Cool, right?

“Bizarre Baseball Culture” still under construction

The next installment of “Bizarre Baseball Culture” remains under construction. I know I said it’d be out today- Tuesday- but I guess I underestimated the time it would take me. Either that, or it was not I who posted that message from the future yesterday, but rather an alternate-universe doppleganger. One of the two.

Until then, here’s a picture from the next installment:

Screen Shot 2014-02-04 at 11.19.33 PM

The 2013 World Series Preview/Prediction Spectacular

It’s time to preview the 2013 World Series!

…After the jump, of course:

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